WHAT ARE DERIVATIVES? -
INTRODUCTION, FUTURE CONTRACTS and OPTION CONTRACTS
Ever got confused looking at the
terms S&P-500 JUNE FUTURES, NIFTY12MAY 5100 CE, etc? Ever wondered what are
forward contracts, call options, put options? Well, these are nothing but
derivative instruments traded in the financial markets. It is a form
of deferred credit. These exist for stocks, indices, commodities,
currencies, interest rates, weather ( yes, it is WEATHER ), freight to name a
few. The world's oldest derivative is said to be rice futures traded at Dojima
Rice Exchange in Japan.
As the name suggests, derivatives
are instruments which derive their value from underlying instruments which can
be stocks, indices, currencies, etc.
Now look at these figures to see
what derivatives are capable of and why Warren Buffet says: DERIVATIVES ARE
FINANCIAL WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION.
- AIG lost $18 billions in Credit Default
Swaps.
- Societe Generale lost $7.2 billions in
January 2008.
- Amaranth Advisors lost $6.4 billions in
September 2006.
- LTCM lost $4.2 billions in 1998.
These are just a few examples of
what derivatives can do. But, there is also a good side to it. Derivative
contracts help a firm to cover the risks associated with the fluctuations in
different rates which can hamper their budgets, forecasts and thus help prevent
losses due to these at a reasonable 'Hedging Cost'.
Before we go into the
explanation, let us understand a few terms and types of derivative contracts.
- FORWARDS: It is a custom made contract
between 2 parties to make payments in future at a specified date at
today's pre-determined price.
- FUTURES: It is a contract to BUY or SELL
an asset on or before a future date at a price specified today.
- OPTIONS: It is a contract that gives the
owner the right but not obligation to buy ( in case of call ) or sell ( in
case of put ) an asset at a pre-determined price known as STRIKE PRICE.
The date is specified in the contract.
- SWAPS: These are contracts to exchange
cash on or before a specified date in future based on the underlying value
of the stock, currency, bond, etc.
Now let us read in detail about the contracts traded on the stock exchanges across the world
FUTURE CONTRACTS:
Now, to make it simple, here is a
very basic example explaining FUTURE CONTRACTS.
Consider a stock ABC trading at
100 on the Stock exchange in the month of may. This is the SPOT price. Now
consider its future contract for the month of june trading at 101. You can buy
either on spot or on future. Now, one lot of the future contract consists of
1000 shares. So, one lot costs: 101,000. But, to buy it, you need to pay just a
small % of the total cost. Suppose you need to pay 10%, so one lot now costs
you just 10,100. Now, to buy the same amount of shares on spot price, you need
100,000 ( 100 x 1000 ).
Now, in 100,000 you are able to
BUY 9 lots ( 10100 x 9 = 99,900 ). Now, the price moves up to 105, the future
is trading at 106. Its a 5 point gain. Lets see what's the gain:
SPOT: 1000 x 5 = 5000.
FUTURE: 9000 x 5 = 45,000.
Saw the difference? With the
derivative contract, the same amount of investment gave you 9 times the profit
you could make in the SPOT MARKET! That's the magic of "Leverage".
But before you jump into the derivatives market reading this article just till
here, WAIT.
Now consider the price moves down
to 95, futures trading at 96.
The loss will be:
SPOT: 5000
FUTURES: 45000.
Nearly half your capital is
eroded in just a 5% downside.
OPTIONS:
Some argue that options are safer
than futures as they have limited downside. Before proceeding, let us look into
the basic 2 types of option contracts.
CALL Option: It is the right to
buy the underlying instrument at a pre-determined price at a specified future
date.
PUT Option: It is the right to
sell the underlying instrument at a pre-determined price at a specified future
date.
The "right" comes with
a price known as premium.
People buying calls are bullish
on the instrument's price while people buying puts expect a fall in the price.
Lets understand this with a
simple example:
Now consider there's a piece of
land you want to buy but don't have the cash now, it costs 100,000. You enter
into a contract with the current owner that he will sell you the house for
100,000 three months from now. The current owner agrees on the condition you
pay him 3000 now as the price of the contract. Now let us look at 2 scenarios:
- Imagine oil was discovered in the area
and the land you want to buy too has oil reserves. The market value of the
land shoots up to 1,000,000. But the seller can't demand 1,000,000 from
you. He will have to sell you the land for 100,000 and you make a heap of
profit in this transaction. ( 1,000,000 - 100,000 - 3000 = 897,000 )
- Now, imagine that it is discovered that
the land is under some legal dispute and the market value of the land
falls from 100,000 to 50,000. As you have the right but no an obligation
to buy the land, you decide to forfeit the contract. As a result you lose
just the 3000 you paid as the contract price.
This, is the magic of options. It
protects you from a severe price movement that could affect you. But option
trading needs a lot of calculations, study and time devotion as it involves a
lot of complexities and strategies.
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